Sunday, April 15, 2007

We have seen the future of climate -- and it is Sheep

Dr. Ewe Noh-Watt of the New Zealand Institute of Veterinary Climatology suggests that since most sheep are white, and therefore have a higher albedo than the land on which they typically graze, recent warming in New Zealand can be attributed to the decrease of flocks of grazing sheep. See here.

[T]he Sheep Albedo Index is defined as the New Zealand Sheep population in each year, subtracted from the 2007 population. The index is defined that way because fewer sheep means lower albedo, and thus a positive radiative forcing. It can be seen that the recent warming can be explained entirely by the decline in the New Zealand sheep population, without any need to bring in any mysterious so-called "radiative forcing" from carbon dioxide, which doesn't affect the sunlight (hardly) anyway -- unlike Sheep Albedo. Some researchers have expressed surprise at the large effect from the relatively small radiative forcing attributable to New Zealand Sheep, or indeed to New Zealand as a whole. "This only shows the fallacy of the concept of Radiative Forcing, which is after all only a theory, not a fact," says Noh-Watt. "Evidently there are amplifying feedbacks at work which give the Sheep Albedo Index a disproportionate influence over climate."

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